你可能看到过，我在得克萨斯州美丽的奥斯汀度过了选举日。说真的，除了白宫，我真不想待在别的地方。这听起来可能很疯狂，但听我说完：你能想象，作为一只墙上的苍蝇，坐在东厅里，和唐纳德·特朗普、他的顾问以及一些内阁成员一起，承受美国选民的全面否决吗？
You might have seen that I got to spend Election Day in beautiful Austin, Texas. And there’s truly nowhere else I’d rather have been, except maybe the White House. That may sound crazy, but hear me out: Can you imagine being a fly on the wall, sitting in the East Room with Donald Trump, his advisers and some Cabinet members as they stomached a total rebuke from the American people?
实际上，无需猜测。情况很糟糕。选举之夜，一名白宫官员对MS NOW说：“这几乎是最坏的情况。”白宫竭尽全力，试图确保共和党在选举之夜取得重大胜利：起诉各州、干预邮政服务，并试图获取选民数据。但在特朗普的所有选举工程策略中，重新划分选区本应是稳操胜券的。
In all actuality, no guesswork is needed. It was grim. On election night, one White House official told MS NOW, “This is pretty much worst-case scenario.”The White House tried its hardest to guarantee big wins for Republicans on election night: filing lawsuits against states, interfering with the Postal Service and attempting to seize voter data. But of all Trump’s election engineering strategies, redistricting was supposed to be the surefire win.
你可能还记得，在总统的指示下，过去两年里，几个州的共和党人重新划分了数十个国会选区，试图维持控制权。但他们的计划不仅失败了。在一些州，它。
You likely remember that at the president’s direction, Republicans in several states redrew dozens of congressional districts over the past two years in an attempt to maintain control. But their scheme didn’t just fail. In some states, it .
以德克萨斯州为例。它是发起这场前所未有的重新划分选区之争的第一个州。2025年夏天，共和党人拼凑出一张他们认为会让本党在众议院增加五个席位的选区地图。当时，德克萨斯州州长格雷格·阿博特称其为“巨大胜利”，并吹嘘自己“增加的新共和党席位比任何州都多”。快进到选举日：阿博特下台，那5个重新划分的选区中有4个变成了蓝色，德克萨斯州共和党人还失去了他们自己的两个众议院席位。
Take Texas, for example. It was the first state to kick off the unprecedented redistricting war. Back in the summer of 2025, Republicans pieced together a map they thought would result in a five-seat gain for their party in the House of Representatives. At the time, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott called it a “huge win” and bragged that he “added more new Republican seats than any state.”Fast-forward to Election Day: Abbott is out, 4 of those 5 redrawn seats went blue, and Texas Republicans lost two of their own House seats.
但德克萨斯州共和党人并非孤军奋战。在佛罗里达州，共和党人失去了他们重新划分的三个选区（很快可能全部四个失守）。民主党人还赢得了一个空缺席位。在北卡罗来纳州，众议员唐·戴维斯保住了他的席位，他的民主党同事又至少翻转了四个席位。即使在铁红的阿拉巴马州，民主党众议员绍马里·菲格斯也守住了他被瞄准的席位。
But Texas Republicans weren’t alone in their failure. In Florida, Republicans lost three (and soon, maybe all four) of the districts they redrew. Democrats also picked up an open seat. In North Carolina, Rep. Don Davis kept his seat, and his Democratic colleagues flipped at least four more. Even in ruby-red Alabama, Democrat Rep. Shomari Figures held onto his targeted seat.
在加利福尼亚州，你可能记得，加州州长加文·纽森在一些民主党人视为道德上存在争议的举措中，推动了一项重新划分选区的行动，以对抗特朗普的努力。结果如何？民主党在那里多赢得了五个众议院席位。
And in California, you may remember that Gov. Gavin Newsom, in what some Democrats viewed as an ethically fraught move, pushed through a redistricting effort to fight back against Trump’s efforts. The result there? Democrats picked up five additional House seats.
就目前情况来看，在我们预计共和党会通过选区划分获胜的十几个席位中，只有共和党赢得了他们的选举。女士们先生们，这就是一场“伪选区划分”。
As it stands, across more than a dozen seats we expected Republicans to gain through gerrymandering, only Republicans have won their races. Ladies and gentlemen, that’s a dummymander.