
以色列新选出的议会周二宣誓就职,标志着政治过渡的开始,这场过渡可能结束总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的长期执政。尽管反对派在议会中取得进展,该国仍没有新政府,组建政府的谈判面临重大障碍。
Israel's newly elected parliament was sworn in Tuesday, marking the beginning of a political transition that could end Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's long tenure in power. Despite the opposition's parliamentary gains, the country remains without a new government, and negotiations to form one face significant obstacles.
谈判的核心人物是以色列前军方负责人加迪·艾森科特。周日,在67名议员推荐他出任该职位、而46名议员支持内塔尼亚胡之后,总统伊萨克·赫尔佐格授权他组建以色列下一届执政联盟。
At the center of those negotiations is former Israeli military chief Gadi Eisenkot, who was tasked by President Isaac Herzog on Sunday with assembling Israel's next governing coalition after 67 lawmakers recommended him for the position, compared with 46 who supported Netanyahu.
尽管艾森科特的“亚沙尔”党在10月27日的选举中赢得21个席位,但他正与前总理纳夫塔利·贝内特密切合作。贝内特与前总理亚伊尔·拉皮德共同创建的“共同”党又获得了12个席位。
Although Eisenkot's Yashar party won 21 seats in the October 27 election, he is working closely with former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, whose B'Yachad party, formed with former Prime Minister Yair Lapid, secured another 12 seats.
两党尚未合并,但它们的合作实际上使艾森科特在谈判中获得33名议员的支持——超过内塔尼亚胡的利库德集团。利库德集团仍是以色列议会中最大的单一政党,拥有27个席位。
The two parties have not merged, but their cooperation effectively gives Eisenkot the negotiating backing of 33 lawmakers — more than Netanyahu's Likud, which remains the largest individual party in the Knesset with 27 seats.
一位了解寻求取代内塔尼亚胡的阵营内部讨论的消息人士告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,贝内特已决定扮演政治造王者的角色,支持艾森科特出任领导人,而不是自己寻求总理职位。
A source with knowledge of discussions within the bloc seeking to replace Netanyahu told Fox News Digital that Bennett has decided to act as a political kingmaker, supporting Eisenkot's leadership bid rather than seeking the premiership himself.
据该消息人士称,贝内特打算在整个谈判过程中与艾森科特密切协调,同时保持其政党的独立领导地位和议会身份。
Bennett intends to coordinate closely with Eisenkot throughout the negotiations while preserving his party's independent leadership and parliamentary identity, according to the source.
这一安排并未创建一个新的33席政党,也不保证两位领导人会在每一项联盟安排上达成一致。但它使艾森科特的谈判地位强于其政党仅有的21个席位所显示的水平。
The arrangement does not create a new 33-seat party or guarantee that the two leaders will agree on every coalition arrangement. But it places Eisenkot in a stronger negotiating position than his party's 21 seats alone would suggest.
周二新一届议会宣誓就职期间,内塔尼亚胡呼吁组建民族团结政府,理由是以色列面临的安全挑战,但同时猛烈抨击阿拉伯政党,指责其支持恐怖主义,并警告不要组建依赖这些政党选票的政府。
During Tuesday's swearing-in of the new Knesset, Netanyahu called for a national unity government, citing Israel's security challenges, but also sharply attacked the Arab parties, accusing them of supporting terrorism and warning against forming a government dependent on their votes.

贝内特平时是直言不讳的政治人物,但在组阁谈判期间基本避开了公众视线。此次他打破相对的沉默,在演讲中反复与内塔尼亚胡对峙。
Bennett, normally an outspoken political figure who has largely avoided the spotlight during the coalition negotiations, broke his relative silence to repeatedly confront Netanyahu during the speech.
“你的卡塔尔顾问怎么说?”贝内特喊道,指的是对有关内塔尼亚胡核心圈子成员在为其工作期间与卡塔尔存在财务联系的指控所进行的调查。贝内特还质问内塔尼亚胡为何没有就2023年10月7日哈马斯袭击事件成立国家调查委员会,并要求他宣布卡塔尔为敌国。
"What about your Qatari advisers?" Bennett shouted, referring to the investigation into allegations that members of Netanyahu's inner circle had financial ties to Qatar while working for the prime minister. Bennett also demanded to know why Netanyahu had not established a state commission of inquiry into the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas attacks and challenged him to declare Qatar an enemy state.
这场对峙打断了内塔尼亚胡的讲话,其他议员也加入喊叫,而总理则继续警告不要组建由阿拉伯政党支持的政府。
The confrontation disrupted Netanyahu's address, with other lawmakers joining the shouting as the prime minister continued warning against a government supported by Arab parties.

艾森科特以异常强硬的措辞予以谴责。艾森科特在11月10日提供给福克斯新闻数字频道的一份声明中说:“我坐在那里,听完了即将卸任的总理那番妄想、分裂、充满仇恨且可耻的讲话。我现在更加确信,他连一分钟都不适合继续留任。”艾森科特随后指示其谈判团队取消原定于周三与利库德集团代表举行的会议。
Eisenkot responded with an unusually forceful condemnation. "I sat and listened to the outgoing prime minister’s delusional, divisive, hate-filled and shameful speech," Eisenkot said in a statement provided to Fox News Digital on Nov. 10. "I am now even more convinced that he is unfit to remain in office for even one more minute." Eisenkot subsequently instructed his negotiating team to cancel a meeting scheduled with Likud representatives for Wednesday.
在另一份声明中,亚沙尔表示,被取消的会议原计划基于艾森科特的四项执政原则探讨组阁可能性,但内塔尼亚胡的讲话使原定讨论无法进行。
In a separate statement, Yashar said the canceled meeting had been intended to explore coalition possibilities based on Eisenkot's four governing principles, but Netanyahu's speech made the planned discussions untenable.
不过,据《以色列时报》报道,内塔尼亚胡周三继续主张组建民族团结政府,称以色列的安全挑战要求跨越政治分歧开展合作。
Netanyahu, however, continued advocating for a unity government on Wednesday, arguing that Israel's security challenges demanded cooperation across political divisions, according to The Times of Israel.
尽管公开对峙,据一名了解寻求取代内塔尼亚胡的阵营内部谈判的消息人士称,全国团结政府仍是正在考虑的最切实可行的方案之一。
Despite the public confrontation, a national unity government remains one of the most tangible scenarios under consideration, according to a source with knowledge of negotiations within the bloc seeking to replace Netanyahu.

该消息人士告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,这样的安排将取决于内塔尼亚胡先同意不担任总理,这可能允许艾森科特根据轮换协议领导政府,而内塔尼亚胡担任候补总理。
The source told Fox News Digital that such an arrangement would depend on Netanyahu agreeing not to serve as prime minister first, potentially allowing Eisenkot to lead the government under a rotation agreement while Netanyahu assumes the position of alternate prime minister.
据该消息人士称,艾森科特的盟友保留着多种选择,包括与极端正统派或阿拉伯政党达成协议,部分目的是加强他们的谈判地位,并加大对内塔尼亚胡接受权力分享安排的压力。
Eisenkot's allies are keeping several options open, according to the source, including agreements with ultra-Orthodox or Arab parties, partly to strengthen their negotiating position and increase pressure on Netanyahu to accept a power-sharing arrangement.
但内塔尼亚胡是否会同意放弃总理职位,哪怕是暂时放弃,仍不清楚。该消息人士强调,谈判仍在变化之中,尚未达成任何协议。
But whether Netanyahu would agree to relinquish the premiership, even temporarily, remains unclear. The source emphasized that negotiations are fluid and that no agreement has been reached.
官方选举结果显示,内塔尼亚胡的阵营获得53个席位,而寻求取代他的四个政党获得48席。其余19席归于两个阿拉伯人领导的政党:联合名单党获得11席,曼苏尔·阿巴斯领导的拉姆党获得8席。
The official election results left Netanyahu's bloc with 53 seats, while the four parties seeking to replace him secured 48. The remaining 19 seats went to two Arab-led parties: the Joint List, with 11, and Ra'am, led by Mansour Abbas, with eight.

尽管有67名议员支持授予艾森科特组阁授权,但这种支持并不会自动转化为一个可行的执政联盟。
While 67 lawmakers supported Eisenkot receiving the mandate to form a government, that support does not automatically translate into a workable governing coalition.
赫尔佐格在与议会各党派领导人磋商时承认了这一挑战,并提到分歧和相互之间的政治否决可能阻止任何一方组建稳定的政府。
Herzog acknowledged the challenge during consultations with parliamentary leaders, citing disagreements and mutual political vetoes that could prevent either side from forming a stable government.
艾森科特的主要合作伙伴是贝内特、拉皮德、民主党的亚伊尔·戈兰和以色列我们的家园党的阿维格多·利伯曼。他们的政党合计拥有48个席位,距离议会多数通常所需的61席还差13席。
Eisenkot's principal partners are Bennett, Lapid, Yair Golan of the Democrats and Avigdor Liberman of Yisrael Beytenu. Together, their parties hold 48 seats, 13 short of the 61 generally needed for a parliamentary majority.
艾森科特为潜在联盟伙伴列出了四项原则:承认以色列是犹太民主国家,接受《独立宣言》的价值观,支持全民服兵役或民役,以及承认哈马斯是恐怖组织、其军事和治理能力必须被瓦解。但这些条件构成了一道艰难的政治方程式。
Eisenkot has outlined four principles for potential coalition partners: recognizing Israel as a Jewish and democratic state, accepting the values of the Declaration of Independence, supporting military or civilian national service for all, and recognizing Hamas as a terrorist organization whose military and governing capabilities must be dismantled. But those conditions have created a difficult political equation.
极端正统派政党沙斯党和联合妥拉犹太教党合计拥有13个席位,而这正是艾森科特现有四党联盟达到61席所需的席位数。
The ultra-Orthodox parties, Shas and United Torah Judaism, collectively hold 13 seats — precisely the number Eisenkot's existing four-party bloc would need to reach 61.
然而,这两个政党历来反对将兵役扩大到极端正统派宗教学生,这与艾森科特要求全民服役的主张直接冲突。
However, both parties have historically opposed broadening military conscription to include ultra-Orthodox religious students, directly conflicting with Eisenkot's demand for national service.
据《以色列时报》报道,在11月10日的派系会议上,艾森科特重申他不会放弃普遍兵役、国民服役或民役的原则。
At a Nov. 10 faction meeting, Eisenkot reiterated that he would not abandon the principle of universal military, national or civilian service, according to The Times of Israel.
据《以色列时报》周二报道,周三这一分歧变得更加明显:贝内特的政党提交法案,提议扩大士兵和预备役人员的福利,而联合妥拉犹太教党则提出法案,寻求保留宗教学生的兵役豁免。阿拉伯政党则构成另一种挑战。
The disagreement became even more visible Wednesday, when Bennett's party submitted legislation proposing expanded benefits for soldiers and reservists, while United Torah Judaism introduced bills seeking to preserve military draft exemptions for religious students, The Times of Israel reported Tuesday. The Arab parties present a different challenge.
虽然拉姆党的8名议员可以帮助艾森科特组建政府,但利伯曼拒绝依赖阿拉伯政党,而这种安排在政治上是否可接受,在联盟内部仍存在争议。
While Ra'am's eight lawmakers could help Eisenkot establish a government, Liberman has rejected relying on Arab parties, and the political acceptability of such an arrangement remains disputed within the bloc.
艾森科特所属政党的一名消息人士告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,该党并未断然排除与拉姆党合作的可能性,前提是拉姆党领导层接受四项执政原则。该消息人士承认,谈判仍然艰难,多种联盟组合仍在考虑之中。
A source within Eisenkot's party told Fox News Digital that the party has not categorically ruled out cooperation with Ra'am, provided its leadership accepts the four governing principles. The source acknowledged that negotiations remain difficult and that multiple coalition arrangements are still under consideration.
一种方案是争取极端正统派政党的支持。另一种方案则需要与阿拉伯议员合作,可能包括来自政府外部的支持。此外还讨论过让利库德集团参与的更广泛的民族团结安排。
One option involves securing the support of ultra-Orthodox parties. Another would require cooperation with Arab lawmakers, potentially including support from outside the government. A broader national unity arrangement involving Likud has also been discussed.

每种方案都面临政治障碍,这使得艾森科特面临一项艰巨任务:在宗教、民族认同和安全政策上观点分歧严重的各党派之间组建联盟。
Each scenario presents political obstacles, leaving Eisenkot facing the difficult task of assembling a coalition among parties with sharply different views on religion, national identity and security policy.
即便尚未组建新政府,艾森科特及其盟友已开始在新宣誓就职的议会中施加影响。
Even without a new government, Eisenkot and his allies have begun exercising their influence in the newly sworn-in parliament.
在周一提供给福克斯新闻数字频道的一份声明中,亚沙尔宣布,该党已提交立法,要求就2023年10月7日哈马斯袭击事件成立国家调查委员会,并对总理设定任期限制。
In a Monday statement provided to Fox News Digital, Yashar announced that it had submitted legislation to establish a state commission of inquiry into the October 7, 2023, Hamas attacks and introduce term limits for the prime minister.
该党还提交了提案,要求废除与内塔尼亚胡司法改革相关的立法,包括涉及司法系统、总检察长权限、警察以及总理可被宣布无法履职的情形等方面的改动。
The party also submitted proposals to repeal legislation associated with Netanyahu's judicial overhaul, including changes to the judiciary, the attorney general's authority, the police and the circumstances under which a prime minister can be declared unable to serve.
定于11月17日举行投票,替换现任议会议长、内塔尼亚胡盟友阿米尔·奥哈纳。
A vote to replace current Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana, a Netanyahu ally, is scheduled for Nov. 17.
在艾森科特的盟友掌控政府之前,这些任命可能使他们对以色列的立法议程拥有相当大的影响力。
The appointments could give Eisenkot's allies considerable influence over Israel's legislative agenda before they secure control of the government.
除了国内政治谈判之外,艾森科特还试图就美以关系的未来向美国领导人作出保证。
Beyond the domestic political negotiations, Eisenkot has also sought to reassure American leaders about the future of U.S.-Israel relations.
在11月4日向美国人和国际社会发表的公开声明中,艾森科特承诺恢复与华盛顿的两党合作,并深化以色列与美国的关系。
In a Nov. 4 public statement addressed to Americans and the international community, Eisenkot pledged to restore bipartisan cooperation with Washington and deepen Israel's relationship with the United States.
艾森科特写道:“以色列与美国之间的纽带不止是政府间的同盟,更是两国人民之间的伙伴关系。这一关系历经数代人建立,由共同的民主价值观维系,并因这样一种信念而更加牢固:当我们站在一起时,两国都更加安全、更加繁荣。”他还直接谈到自己愿意与唐纳德·特朗普总统合作。
"The bond between Israel and the United States is more than an alliance between governments," Eisenkot wrote. "It is a partnership between peoples, built over generations, sustained by shared democratic values, and strengthened by the conviction that our nations are more secure and more prosperous when we stand together." He also directly addressed his willingness to work with President Donald Trump.

艾森科特说:“我期待与特朗普总统及其政府密切、建设性地合作,我们深深珍视他们的友谊和对以色列的承诺。”
"I look forward to working closely and constructively with President Trump and his administration, whose friendship and commitment to Israel we deeply value," Eisenkot said.
这番表态之际,华盛顿正就美国对以色列支持的前景展开激烈辩论,背景是美国中期选举以及两国在地区政策上的分歧。
The message comes amid heightened debate in Washington over the future of U.S. support for Israel, following the American midterm elections and disagreements over the countries' regional policies.
艾森科特所在政党的一名消息人士告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,重建与美国的关系,包括与美国的两个主要政党都重建关系,将是新政府的优先事项之一。
A source within Eisenkot's party told Fox News Digital that rebuilding relations with the United States, including with both major American political parties, would be among the priorities of a new government.
艾森科特还强调,他打算在维护以色列安全承诺的同时,寻求地区合作与外交机会。
Eisenkot has also emphasized his intention to pursue regional cooperation and diplomatic opportunities while maintaining Israel's security commitments.
根据以色列法律,艾森科特自11月8日起有28天时间组建政府,这意味着他必须在12月6日前达成协议。赫尔佐格可批准最多额外14天的延期,从而可能将最后期限推迟至12月20日。
Under Israeli law, Eisenkot has 28 days from Nov. 8 to form a government, giving him until December 6 to reach an agreement. Herzog can grant an extension of up to 14 additional days, potentially pushing the deadline to December 20.

如果艾森科特组阁失败,总统可能让另一位议员获得组阁机会。如果第二次尝试也失败,还将启动进一步的议会程序,最终可能导致再次举行全国选举。
If Eisenkot fails, the president may give another lawmaker the opportunity to form a government. Additional parliamentary procedures would follow if a second attempt also fails, potentially culminating in another national election.
这一结果不仅可能决定谁将成为以色列下一任总理,还可能决定该国在兵役、司法改革、10月7日事件问责以及与华盛顿关系上的方向。
The outcome could determine not only who becomes Israel's next prime minister, but also the country's direction on military conscription, judicial reform, accountability for October 7 and its relations with Washington.
目前,以色列正在经历一场不寻常的政治过渡:新当选的议会开始挑战即将卸任政府的议程,而受命组建替代政府的人选仍在就谁将加入其阵营进行谈判。
For now, Israel is experiencing an unusual political transition: a newly elected parliament is beginning to challenge the outgoing government's agenda, while the leader tasked with forming its replacement is still negotiating over who will join him.
艾森科特拥有总统授权、贝内特的支持,以及愿意推荐他的议会多数派的支持。他尚未获得的是这些政党之间就如何共同执政达成的协议。
Eisenkot has the presidential mandate, Bennett's backing and the support of a parliamentary majority willing to recommend him. What he does not yet have is an agreement among those parties on how to govern together.