副总统JD·万斯、国务卿马可·鲁比奥和佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯正在为共和党历史性的中期选举惨败提供相互竞争的解释，以便在2028年大选前为自己定位。
Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis are offering competing explanations for Republicans' historic midterm losses as they position themselves ahead of 2028.
万斯将责任归咎于伊朗战争，鲁比奥为特朗普发动袭击的决定辩护，而德桑蒂斯则认为共和党打错了政治战役。他们的分歧暴露了“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）联盟内部日益加深的分裂。
Vance blames the Iran war, Rubio defends Trump's decision to attack and DeSantis argues Republicans fought the wrong political battles. Their differences expose growing divisions within the MAGA coalition.
特朗普拒绝为失败承担责任，也拒绝承诺背书一位继任者，这让潜在候选人陷入困境：他们既要设法与特朗普不受欢迎的政策划清界限，又不能疏远他的支持者。
Trump has resisted taking responsibility for the defeat and declined to commit to endorsing a successor, leaving potential candidates struggling to distance themselves from his unpopular policies without alienating his supporters.
共和党仍在清算这场历史性的中期选举大败，但关于归咎责任和继承唐纳德·特朗普总统政治运动的争夺战已经打响。
Republicans are still reckoning with a historic midterm wipeout but the fight to assign blame and inherit President Donald Trump's political movement is already underway.
副总统JD·万斯指责伊朗战争，国务卿马可·鲁比奥为其辩护。佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯表示共和党打错了战役。得克萨斯州参议员泰德·克鲁兹（共和党-得克萨斯州）则认为，该党已与选民的经济困境脱节。
Vice President JD Vance faults the war in Iran Secretary of State Marco Rubio defends it. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis says Republicans fought the wrong battles. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz R-Texas, argues the party lost touch with voters' economic struggles.
这些潜在总统竞争者相互竞争的愿景，提前展示了2028年大选前共和党内部斗争的端倪。但他们都面临同一个两难困境：如何说服选民该党能够改弦易辙，同时又不疏远特朗普或他们赢得提名所需的MAGA基本盘。最大的障碍可能是特朗普本人，他对政治退让表现出极少的意愿。
The competing visions from potential presidential contenders offer an early glimpse of the Republican infighting ahead of 2028. But all face the same dilemma: How to convince voters the party can change course without alienating Trump or the MAGA base they need to win the nomination. The biggest obstacle may be Trump himself, who has shown little appetite for a political retreat.
周一，特朗普意外现身白宫简报室，宣称伊朗战争“从军事角度来看实际上已经结束”，同时坚持称美国随时准备恢复打击。当天早些时候，他质疑共和党中期选举失败的合法性，在没有证据的情况下暗示是投票机导致的，这距离他在多年选举否认论后表示将接受2026年选举结果仅过去几天。
On Monday, Trump made a surprise appearance in the White House briefing room, declaring the Iran war "militarily is effectively over" while maintaining that the U.S. remains prepared to resume strikes. Earlier that day, he questioned the legitimacy of Republicans' midterm defeat, suggesting without evidence that voting machines were responsible, days after saying that after years of election denial, he would accept the 2026 results.
自大选以来，特朗普还用移民强硬派斯蒂芬·米勒取代了白宫幕僚长苏西·怀尔斯，并支持共和党全国委员会主席乔·格鲁特斯，对抗一名要求对该党败选负责的挑战者。
Since the election, Trump has also replaced Chief of Staff Susie Wiles with immigration hard-liner Stephen Miller and backed Republican National Committee Chairman Joe Gruters against a challenger demanding an accounting of the party's losses.
特朗普也让其潜在继任者们捉摸不透。他在周日接受哥伦比亚广播公司（CBS）采访时，在称赞鲁比奥的同时也赞扬了万斯，但暗示他可能不参与2028年共和党初选。
Trump is also keeping his would-be successors guessing. In a CBS interview Sunday he praised Rubio alongside Vance but suggested he might stay out of the 2028 Republican primary.
“也许我最好别插手，”他说，同时强调他的背书可能具有的分量。
"Maybe I'm better off not getting involved," he said, while emphasizing the weight his endorsement could carry.
这种局面让万斯处于危险的境地。作为明确的政治继承人进入中期选举，万斯现在面临一个关键问题：他能否在不继承特朗普总统任期过错的情况下继承“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）运动？
That dynamic leaves Vance in a precarious position. Entering the midterms as the clear political heir, Vance now faces a critical question: Can he inherit MAGA without inheriting the blame for Trump's presidency?
在周三选举结果仍在陆续出炉之际，万斯在X平台上发布长文，质疑特朗普关于共和党败选的最初解释。
lengthy post on X Wednesday as election results were still trickling in, Vance challenged Trump's initial explanation for the Republican defeat.
“我们输掉选举的原因是战争，”万斯写道，辩称2024年支持特朗普-万斯竞选组合的选民，因伊朗问题在2026年抛弃了共和党。
"The reason we lost is the war," Vance wrote, arguing voters who backed the Trump-Vance ticket in 2024 abandoned Republicans in 2026 over Iran.
归咎于外交政策，让万斯能够批评政府的一项标志性决定，而不必否定更广泛的“让美国再次伟大”运动，同时也呼应了他长期以来反对对外干预的立场。万斯还拥有全国性的知名度和捐赠人脉，有助于其潜在的参选。但选举结果使万斯的论点变得复杂。
Pointing to foreign policy allows Vance to criticize a defining administration decision without repudiating the broader MAGA movement, while echoing his longstanding opposition to foreign interventions. Vance also has national name recognition and donor ties to help his prospective candidacy. But the election results complicate Vance's argument.
根据CNBC选民民调，仅34%的众议院选民称战争对其投票至关重要，而49%引用生活成本、55%引用政府腐败——这表明选民对万斯花了近两年时间捍卫的特朗普政府发起了更广泛的反弹。
Just 34% of House voters called the war crucial to their vote, versus 49% citing the cost of living and 55% government corruption, according to the CNBC Voter Poll – suggesting a broader backlash against the Trump administration that Vance has spent nearly two years defending.
“你不能在你服务的政府内部反战竞选，”保守派评论员乔尔·波拉克在X平台上写道，质疑万斯如何能与一场他曾公开捍卫的冲突划清界限。
"You can't campaign against a war from within an administration you serve," conservative commentator Joel Pollak wrote on questioning how Vance could distance himself from a conflict he had publicly defended.
在接受CBS采访时，特朗普表示他不同意万斯的评估，并承认副总统事先曾与他讨论过该帖子。但他坚持认为攻击伊朗的决定是正确的，并暗示万斯也有自己的失利需要解释。
In his CBS interview Trump said he did not disagree with Vance's assessment and acknowledged the vice president had discussed the post with him beforehand. But he insisted the decision to attack Iran was right and suggested Vance also has losses of his own to explain.
在万斯担任共和党全国委员会财务主席、花费数月筹款和竞选后，民主党赢得了他在家乡俄亥俄州的两场重量级选举。在副总统为一则有争议的广告辩护后，该广告出现了艾米·阿克顿（Amy Acton）疏远的母亲，阿克顿击败了万斯的盟友维韦克·拉马斯瓦米（Vivek Ramaswamy）当选州长。前参议员谢罗德·布朗（Sherrod Brown）赢回了万斯的前参议员席位，击败了现任共和党参议员乔恩·赫斯特德（Jon Husted）。
After Vance spent months fundraising and campaigning as Republican National Committee finance chairman, Democrats won both marquee races in his home state of Ohio. Amy Acton defeated Vance ally Vivek Ramaswamy for governor, after the vice president defended a controversial ad featuring Acton's estranged mother. Former Sen. Sherrod Brown claimed Vance's former Senate seat, defeating incumbent Republican Jon Husted.
佛罗里达州众议员兰迪·法因（Randy Fine，共和党）周日表示，由于万斯对战争的批评，他不会支持万斯在2028年参选，并称这是对特朗普的背叛。“你必须忠于那些带你去参加舞会的人，”法因周日在接受LiveNOW from FOX采访时说，并点名鲁比奥和克鲁兹作为替代人选。
Rep. Randy Fine, R-Fla., stated Sunday he would not support Vance in 2028 due to his war criticism, calling it a betrayal of Trump. "You have to be loyal to those people who brought you to the dance," Fine said in an interview with LiveNOW from FOX on Sunday, naming Rubio and Cruz as alternatives.
鲁比奥则在做另一种押注：为伊朗战争辩护，同时与共和党的失败划清界限。
Rubio is making a different bet: Defend the Iran war while distancing himself from the Republican defeat.
鲁比奥周日在前往法国途中对记者说：“有时，当你做正确的事时，你不知道它是否受欢迎，但它仍然是正确的事。”
"Sometimes, when you do the right thing, you don't know whether it's popular or not, but it's still the right thing to do," Rubio told reporters Sunday before departing for France.
鲁比奥否认计划在2028年参选，很大程度上避开了竞选活动，并置身于眼前的指责游戏之外。但他作为国务卿和国家安全顾问的双重角色，将他直接与特朗普的外交政策记录联系在一起，当民主党控制众议院时，这可能面临新的审视。众议院本周可能就会针对国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯（Pete Hegseth）的弹劾条款进行投票，以谴责特朗普政府的外交政策。不在特朗普政府内的德桑蒂斯，正在质疑该党的整套行事手册。
Rubio, who has denied he plans to run in 2028, largely avoided the campaign trail and has stayed out of the immediate blame game. But his dual role as secretary of state and national security advisor ties him directly to Trump's foreign policy record, which could face renewed scrutiny when Democrats take control of the House. The House may vote this week on articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth in a rebuke of the Trump administration's foreign policy. DeSantis, who is not in the Trump administration, is questioning the party's entire playbook.
即将卸任的佛罗里达州州长周三在塔拉哈西举行的新闻发布会上称，中期选举对共和党而言“接近灭绝级事件”，指责华盛顿未能兑现承诺，却在进行不再引起选民共鸣的文化战争。
The outgoing Florida governor called the midterms "close to an extinction-level event" for Republicans at a news conference Wednesday in Tallahassee Florida, accusing Washington of failing to deliver on its promises while fighting culture wars that no longer resonated with voters.
“共和党人……实际上是在打昨天的仗，”德桑蒂斯在新闻发布会上说。对于一位因这些斗争而建立全国知名度的州长来说，这是一个引人注目的批评。
"Republicans ... really were fighting yesterday's battle," DeSantis said at the news conference It was a striking critique from a governor who built his national profile on those same fights.
德桑蒂斯可以指出，共和党在佛罗里达州保持了控制权，而民主党在其他地方翻转了长期的共和党大本营。但共和党人拜伦·唐纳兹在州长竞选中仅以1.3个百分点的优势获胜，民主党在州议会中获得了进展。
DeSantis can point to Republicans' ability to retain control of Florida even as Democrats flipped longtime GOP strongholds elsewhere. But Republican Byron Donalds won the governor's race by just 1.3 points, while Democrats gained ground in the Legislature.
尽管如此，佛罗里达州共和党众议员格雷格·斯图布在一篇帖子中将功劳归于德桑蒂斯，称其建立了一道“抵御蓝色海啸的巨大海堤”。争夺特朗普继任者的角逐远不止万斯、鲁比奥和德桑蒂斯。
Still, Rep. Greg Steube, R-Fla., credited DeSantis with building a "massive sea wall against the blue tsunami" in an post The scramble to succeed Trump extends well beyond Vance, Rubio and DeSantis.
克鲁兹在周三发布在X平台的一篇帖子中称中期选举是一场“水门事件级别的否决”，归咎于特朗普的关税和长期的伊朗战争。其他潜在的2028年竞争者包括佐治亚州州长布赖恩·坎普、阿肯色州州长莎拉·哈克比·桑德斯和前弗吉尼亚州州长格伦·扬金，他们面临着同样的挑战：如何在不疏远特朗普基本盘的情况下超越特朗普。
Cruz called the midterms a "Watergate-level repudiation" in a post on X Wednesday blaming Trump's tariffs and the prolonged Iran war. Other potential 2028 contenders include Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders and former Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin, who face the same challenge of moving beyond Trump without alienating his base.
一些富有的共和党捐赠者已经开始超越万斯，在担心来自特朗普政府的候选人会继承其第二任期的政治包袱和低选民支持率的情况下，权衡德桑蒂斯和其他替代人选。分歧延伸至特朗普自己的联盟内部。根据CNBC选民民调，在支持共和党众议院候选人的选民中，30岁以下选民中约三分之二认可特朗普的表现，远低于65岁及以上选民中近九成的认可率。根据出口民调数据，年轻共和党人对伊朗战争和美国对以色列的支持也更持怀疑态度。
Some wealthy Republican donors are already looking beyond Vance, weighing DeSantis and other alternatives amid concerns that a candidate from Trump's administration would inherit the political baggage of his second term and low voter approval ratings The divisions extend to Trump's own coalition. Among voters who backed Republican House candidates, roughly two-thirds of those under 30 approved of Trump's performance, much less than the nearly nine in 10 voters 65 and older, according to the CNBC Voter Poll. Younger Republicans were also more skeptical of the Iran war and U.S. support for Israel, according to the exit poll data.
“如果你想争辩说，失去参议院的六年是值得的，那就这么说，”范斯星期三表示。“同意或不同意，起码是诚实的。但大家都知道我们为什么会输。”
"If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so," Vance said Wednesday "Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost."