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欧洲央行管委纳格尔称12月加息看来“相当明显”ECB’s Nagel Says December Rate Hike Is Looking ‘Rather Obvious’

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约阿希姆·纳格尔 摄影:David Paul Morris/彭博社Joachim Nagel Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

欧洲央行管委会成员约阿希姆·纳格尔表示,有充分理由在下个月加息,并开始紧缩经济以抑制通胀。

Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said there’s a strong case to raise interest rates next month and to start constricting the economy to tame inflation.

德国联邦央行行长纳格尔周二在接受彭博电视台采访时表示,消费者物价涨幅“过高”,并强调即将做出的决定将依据首次涵盖2029年的新预测为官员提供指引。

In an interview Tuesday with Bloomberg Television, the Bundesbank chief said that consumer-price gains are “too high,” and emphasized how the upcoming decision will guide officials with new forecasts that encompass 2029 for the first time.

“看来我们在已采取措施的基础上必须再做些什么,这似乎是一个相当明显的结果,”纳格尔在里加说。“有了这些新数字,我们将获得清晰度。”政策制定者在权衡借贷成本的下一步举措时,正在消化美国中期选举后油价大幅下跌的影响。然而,伊朗战争结束的前景仍不明朗,投资者继续押注未来几个月至少还将加息两次,以遏制通胀——目前通胀率是2%目标的两倍。

“It seems to be a rather obvious outcome that we have to do something on top of what we did already,” Nagel said in Riga. “With these new numbers, we will have clarity.”Policymakers pondering their next moves on borrowing costs are digesting a sharp drop in oil prices following the US midterm elections. The prospects for an end to the Iran war remain unclear, however, and investors continue to bet on at least two more hikes in the months ahead to contain inflation that’s twice the 2% goal.

预计欧洲央行官员将在2026年最后一次货币政策会议上将存款利率上调25个基点至2.75%。自中东冲突爆发以来,这将是第三次此类举措。

ECB officials are expected to increase the deposit rate by a quarter-point to 2.75% at their final monetary-policy meeting of 2026. That would be the third such move since the conflict in Middle East began.

纳格尔将央行目前的政策设定描述为“处于中性区域的上限”。“如果数字朝着我们将看到通胀数字远高于我们2%目标的方向发展,”那么“我们就必须进入限制性区域,”纳格尔说。

Nagel described the central bank’s current policy settings as “at the upper bound of neutral territory.”“If the numbers are going into the direction that we will see inflation numbers much above our 2% target” then “we have to go into restrictive territory,” Nagel said.

周二早些时候,美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒支持美国央行在12月加息,并表示如果通胀继续加速,他可能接受加息50个基点。纳格尔拒绝就欧元区是否需要更大幅度的加息发表推测。“我不会推测我们必须做什么,以及需要多大力度,”他说。

Earlier on Tuesday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller backed a rate hike by the US central bank in December, and said he may be open to a half-point move if inflation continues to accelerate. Nagel wouldn’t be drawn on whether a bigger step could be needed in the euro zone. “I will not speculate on what we have to do, and which dimension is necessary,” he said.

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