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波兰的马斯洛夫斯卡认为1月加息的理由日益充分Poland’s Maslowska Sees Growing Case for January Rate Hike

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波兰的马斯沃夫斯卡认为1月加息的理由日益充分Poland’s Maslowska Sees Growing Case for Rate Hike in January

波兰央行最新的通胀预测支持在1月份加息,货币政策委员会成员加布里埃拉·马斯洛夫斯卡表示。

The Polish central bank’s latest inflation forecasts support the case for an interest rate increase in January, according to Monetary Policy Council member Gabriela Maslowska.

文/阿格涅什卡·巴尔特奇科 波兰央行最新的通胀预测支持在1月份加息,货币政策委员会成员加布里埃拉·马斯洛夫斯卡表示。

By Agnieszka Barteczko The Polish central bank’s latest inflation forecasts support the case for an interest rate increase in January, according to Monetary Policy Council member Gabriela Maslowska.

虽然货币政策委员会上周将基准利率维持在3.75%不变,但预测显示,明年上半年通胀将加速至4.6%,高于央行目标区间的上限。这已经促使一些决策者呼吁在12月的下次会议上加息。

While the MPC left the benchmark unchanged at 3.75% last week, the projection showed inflation will accelerate to 4.6% in the first half of next year, above the upper limit of the central bank’s target. That’s already prompted some policymakers to call for a hike at the next meeting in December.

马斯洛夫斯卡在接受彭博社采访时表示,对她而言,等到明年初再做决定将“更为合适”,因为届时央行将对燃油和受管制能源价格上限可能延长一事有更清晰的了解。她说,11月的会议是几个月来首次出现加息呼声的会议。

For Maslowska, waiting to make the decision until the beginning of next year would be “more appropriate,” she told Bloomberg in an interview, as the central bank will gain more clarity about the potential extension of the price caps on fuel and regulated energy prices. The November meeting was the first one in months to see calls for rate increases, she said.

马斯洛夫斯卡表示,兹罗提近期兑欧元贬值至三年低点,是政府试图破坏央行独立性以及因该国最高法院引发的政治冲突所致。

Maslowska said the zloty’s recent weakening to a three-year low against the euro was a result of what she described as the government’s attempts to undermine the independence of the central bank as well as the political clash over the country’s top court.

本月早些时候,政府派遣警察进入宪法法庭,强行停职首席大法官及其副手,与获反对派支持的总统对峙升级,波兰陷入政治动荡。周六克拉科夫发生的一起枪击案更增加了安全担忧。

Poland plunged into political turmoil earlier this month as the government sent police to the Constitutional Tribunal and forced the suspension of its chief justice and his deputy, in an escalating standoff with the opposition-backed president. A mass shooting in Krakow on Saturday only added to security concerns.

马斯洛夫斯卡曾是反对党法律与公正党的议员。2022年该党执政时,她获任命进入货币政策委员会。

Maslowska is a former lawmaker of the opposition Law and Justice party. She was appointed to the MPC, when the party was in power in 2022.

这位决策者的一个关键关注点是央行行长亚当·格林斯基的命运。作为先前执政民族主义者的盟友,他可能很快面临一项投票,决定是否将其送交专门审判高级国家官员的特别法庭受审。

A key concern for the policymaker is the fate of the central bank governor, Adam Glapinski. As an ally of the previously ruling nationalists, he may face a vote soon on whether to face a trial in front of a special court for top state officials.

此举可能触发其停职,格拉平斯基正在对此提出异议,同时否认他在上届议会选举前试图帮助前政府的指控。

The move could trigger his suspension from office, something that Glapinski is contesting while rejecting allegations that he tried to help the previous administration before the last parliamentary elections.

马斯洛夫斯卡表示:“将行长提交法庭审判将意味着货币政策委员会将失去决策权。”

“Bringing the governor before the Tribunal would mean the Monetary Policy Council would lose its decision-making powers,” Maslowska said.

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