
共和党全国委员会(RNC)主席乔·格鲁特斯周五晚间对本党在下周中期选举中的前景保持乐观,预测将在关键摇摆州取得大胜,尽管民调数字对共和党不利。
Republican National Committee (RNC) Chair Joe Gruters remained optimistic Friday evening about his party’s chances in next week’s midterms, predicting big wins in key battleground states despite troubling polling numbers for the GOP.
格鲁特斯告诉NewsNation的布莱克·伯曼,他预计共和党将在缅因州、得克萨斯州、俄亥俄州和阿拉斯加州的参议院竞选中获胜——根据《国会山报》的非党派选举预测合作伙伴Decision Desk HQ(DDHQ)的分析,上述所有州均“微弱”倾向民主党。他还预测共和党将在北卡罗来纳州获胜,该预测机构称该州“很可能”将转为蓝色(即民主党胜)。
Gruters told NewsNation’s Blake Burman he expects Republicans will win Senate races in Maine, Texas, Ohio and Alaska — all of which The Hill’s nonpartisan election forecasting partner, Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), lean “narrowly” toward Democrats. He also predicted a GOP victory in North Carolina, which the handicapper says will “likely” go blue.
伯曼就显示共和党在本选举周期处于劣势的通用选票民调向这位共和党全国委员会主席施压。艾默生学院民调周五发布的一项调查显示,民主党在通用选票上领先共和党10个百分点。
Burman pressed the RNC chair on generic ballot polling that displayed a disadvantage for Republicans running this election cycle. An Emerson College Polling survey released Friday found Democrats held a 10-point lead over Republicans on a generic ballot.
格鲁特斯对伯曼说:“我们推出了能够获胜、符合常识的主流候选人,我认为这将产生决定性作用。所以是的,也许在通用选票上,我们的表现不太理想,但当涉及到知名度高、能够传播其信息的候选人时,是的,我们确实占有优势。”根据周五的预测,DDHQ将民主党在11月重夺众议院控制权的几率定为82%。该党重新夺回国会上议院(参议院)控制权的机会较小,这家非党派选举预测机构将这一概率定在62%左右。
“We put up candidates that can win and common-sense mainstream candidates, and I think that will make the difference,” Gruters told Burman. “So yes, maybe the generic ballot, we’re not doing so hot, but when it comes to candidates that are well known and they’re getting their message out, yes, we do have the benefit.”DDHQ places the Democrats’ chances of regaining control of the House this November at 82 percent, according to a Friday forecast. The party has a slimmer chance at retaking the upper chamber of Congress, with the nonpartisan election handicapper placing this probability at around 62 percent.
这位共和党全国委员会主席还回应了特朗普总统推翻其取消本周末在爱荷华州和堪萨斯州举行两场集会决定一事。总统周五宣布,这两场活动恢复举行,均将于周日以线下形式进行。
The RNC chair also addressed President Trump’s reversal on his decision to cancel two rallies set for this weekend in Iowa and Kansas. The president announced Friday the events were back on and will both be held in person on Sunday.
“听着,所有这些决定都是实时做出的,”格鲁特斯说。“我是说,我们在看数据,看哪里可能需要帮助某些候选人和人员,所以可能还会有一些变动。”格鲁特斯还就阿拉斯加州长邓利维(共和党)对有关报道的回应发表了看法,报道称民主党提名人佩尔托拉的竞选团队涉及一项招募候选人的行动,该候选人与现任参议员丹·沙利文(共和党)同名,参加该州的参议院竞选。
“Listen, all these decisions are being made in real time,” Gruters said. “I mean, we’re looking at data, looking at where we may need to help certain candidates and people, and so there may be some more changes.”Gruters also weighed in on Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy’s (R) response to reports that Democratic nominee Mary Peltola’s campaign was involved in an effort to recruit a candidate in the state’s Senate race with the same name as incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (R).
当伯曼询问如果佩尔托拉获胜,共和党全国委员会是否会寻求拖延本次选举的认证时,格鲁特斯表示,他将“跟随州长的带领”。“我们将看到那项调查最终会有什么结果,但我们将做好准备,以任何方式提供帮助,”他说。
When asked by Burman whether the RNC would seek to stall the certification of this election if Peltola was successful, Gruters said he would “follow the governor’s lead.”“We’ll see [where] that investigation ends up, but we’re going to be ready to help any way we can,” he said.
周五,阿拉斯加联邦最高检察官宣布,其办公室正在参与一项单独的调查,调查在这起涉嫌“搅局候选人”行动中是否有违法行为。佩尔托拉及其竞选团队否认参与了该候选人的招募。
On Friday, the top federal prosecutor in Alaska announced his office was involved in a separate investigation into whether any laws were broken in this alleged spoiler candidate effort. Peltola and her campaign have denied any involvement in the candidate’s recruitment.