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选民重挫共和党,将其赶下权力宝座The blue wave is cresting: GOP braces for midterm wipeout

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北卡罗来纳州共和党参议员候选人迈克尔·沃特利2026年11月3日在北卡罗来纳州加斯托尼亚举行的一场选举之夜活动上发表讲话。North Carolina Republican Senate candidate Michael Whatley speaks at an election night event in Gastonia, North Carolina, on Nov. 3, 2026.

选民强烈拒绝了唐纳德·特朗普总统和共和党人,在全国范围内的共和党老巢几十年来首次选出民主党人,将共和党最深层的恐惧变成了现实。

Voters have forcefully rejected President Donald Trump and Republicans, electing Democrats in GOP strongholds nationwide for the first time in decades and turning the GOP’s deepest fears into reality.

随着全国各地以及最深的红色选区出现代际级别的失利,共和党人接受了即将成为历史性中期选举失败的现实——一场长期担忧的“蓝色浪潮”开始席卷全国。

As generational-level losses stacked up across the country and in the deepest of red seats, Republicans accepted what is on track to be a historic midterm defeat — a long-feared “blue wave” that had started washing across the nation.

“屠杀,”即将退休的众议员马克·阿莫迪(内华达州,共和党人)在一次采访中说道。

"Massacre," Rep. Mark Amodei (R-Nev.), who is retiring, said in an interview.

这场溃败的程度在投票站关闭后不久就变得清晰:共和党人在近30年来首次失去了南卡罗来纳州的一个参议院席位。民主党人在佛罗里达州深红选区紧追众议院现任议员。而负责该党众议院连任工作的人本人也面临失去自己席位的严重风险。

The extent of the washout became clear soon after polls closed: Republicans lost a South Carolina Senate seat for the first time in nearly 30 years. Democrats nipped on the heels of House incumbents in deep red Florida districts. And the man in charge of the party’s House reelection effort was at grave risk of losing his own seat.

到晚上11点30分,民主党人已经翻转了八个共和党众议院席位——仅此就足以赢得多数席位,如果共和党人无法在其他地方取得进展的话——许多民主党人担心,随着选民表达对唐纳德·特朗普总统的不满,还有数十个席位可能随之易手。

By 11:30 p.m., Democrats had already flipped eight GOP House seats — itself enough to win a majority if Republicans can’t make gains elsewhere — and many in the party feared dozens more could follow as voters registered their dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump.

在得克萨斯州,这个一代人以来的铁红州,选民至少选出了两名民主党人担任州级职务,翻转了参议院席位和州长官邸。而堪萨斯州的民主党人在近一个世纪以来首次翻转了一个参议院席位。

Voters in Texas, a ruby-red state for a generation, elected at least two Democrats to statewide office, flipping the Senate seat and the governor’s mansion. And Kansas Democrats flipped a Senate seat for the first time in nearly a century.

随着失败持续,共和党人——长期以来一直害怕一位对党牢牢掌控的总统——表示特朗普应对他们糟糕的选举表现负责。

As the defeats continued, Republicans — long afraid of a president who has maintained an ironclad grip on the party — said Trump was to blame for their poor electoral performance.

“特朗普总统在全国范围内对任何共和党人都没有做什么好事,”前得克萨斯州众议院议长乔·斯特劳斯在POLITICO的选举之夜广播中说道。“坦率地说,他们自己也没有做什么好事,因为他们如此密切地追随他。”有些人没有点名总统,但很明显,他就是那个承担责备的人。

“President Trump hasn't exactly done any Republicans favors across the country,” Joe Straus, a former Texas state House speaker, said on a POLITICO election night broadcast. “They haven't done themselves favors, frankly, by following so closely along.”Some didn’t mention the president by name, but it was still clear he was the one taking the blame.

“全美选民已经表达了意愿,这对所有保守派来说都是一个警钟,”众议员拉尔夫·诺曼(共和党-南卡罗来纳州)表示,并主张共和党需要“开始依据他们竞选时承诺的核心原则进行执政”。与此同时,特朗普否认选举结果是他需要承担的十字架。

"Voters all across America have spoken, and this is a wake-up call for all conservatives," said Rep. Ralph Norman (R-S.C.), arguing the GOP needed to "start governing on the core principles they campaigned on." Trump, meanwhile, denied the results were his cross to bear.

“我不在选票上,”他在《政治客》(POLITICO)的选举之夜直播中说道。“我说,‘说你在选票上,想一想我在选票上。’但他们不同意,而且在大多数情况下他们不喜欢这些候选人。”

“I wasn’t on the ballot,” he said during POLITICO’s election night livestream. “I said, ’Say you’re on the ballot, think about me being on the ballot.’ But they didn’t agree and they didn’t like the candidates in most cases.”

许多负责在当前环境下让共和党候选人当选的政治专业人士表示,结果可能具有历史性意义。一名操盘手预测将出现“海啸”,另一人则断言这是“我一生中,甚至可能是历史上最惨重的选举失败”。在北卡罗来纳州参议院候选人迈克尔·沃特利(Michael Whatley)一个注定失败的胜利庆祝会上,投票结束不到两小时,工作人员已开始收拾会场。计票结果显示,民主党人罗伊·库珀(Roy Cooper)有望以多达20个百分点的优势获胜,而这场竞选本应是势均力敌的。

Many of the political professionals charged with getting GOP candidates elected in this environment said the results could be potentially historic in nature. One operative predicted a “tsunami,” while another deemed it “the worst electoral defeat in my lifetime and likely in history." At an ill-fated victory party for Senate candidate Michael Whatley in North Carolina, staff were already packing up the room less than two hours after polls closed. Returns showed Democrat Roy Cooper on track to win by as many as 20 points in a race that was supposed to have been tooth-and-nail.

站在会场里,一名北卡罗来纳州共和党人公开思考许多党内人士长期以来避而不谈的问题——是否终于该考虑特朗普之后的时代了。

Standing in the room, one North Carolina Republican openly pondered what many others in the party had long avoided saying openly — that it was finally time to think about life after Trump.

“特朗普做过一些很棒的事,我对此表示赞赏。但共和党不能永远是特朗普的党,”前共和党县主席乔纳森·弗莱彻(Jonathan Fletcher)说。“如果共和党认真想要获胜,我们就必须认真争取中间选民。”几乎每个州、选区和县都显示出向民主党倾斜的趋势,从特朗普三次获胜的县份到民主党大本营,民主党都在扩大领先优势。县一级数据显示,民主党平均表现比卡玛拉·哈里斯在2024年总统大选中要好8个百分点以上。

“Trump has done some excellent things, and I appreciate that. But it can't be the party of Trump forever,” said Jonathan Fletcher, a former GOP county chair. “If the Republican Party is going to be serious about winning, we have to be serious about winning people in the middle.”Nearly every state, district and county shows movement toward Democrats, from counties that Trump won three times to blue strongholds where Democrats are improving their margins. County-level data shows Democrats doing on average more than 8 points better than Kamala Harris did in the 2024 presidential race.

这使得民主党有望在两年前特朗普以两位数优势获胜的地区翻盘。民主党人安妮·安德鲁斯在南卡罗来纳州获胜,该州此前特朗普以近18个百分点的优势获胜。民主党翻盘的众议院席位包括肯塔基州第6选区,特朗普曾以15个百分点的优势赢得该选区。而在佛罗里达州和得克萨斯州,共和党重新划分选区以使其更有利于本党的席位,很大程度上并未向共和党倾斜。

That is putting Democrats in reach of flipping seats in places that Trump won by double digits two years ago. Democrat Annie Andrews won South Carolina, which had gone for Trump by nearly 18 points. Democrats’ House flips included Kentucky’s 6th District, which Trump won by 15. And seats that Republicans had drawn to be friendlier to them in Florida and Texas largely didn’t flip in their favor.

尽管共和党候选人、委员会和超级政治行动委员会投入巨资试图保持对国会的控制权——包括来自唐纳德·特朗普总统政治运作团体的3.8亿多美元——但失利的席位仍有可能继续增加。

The losses threatened to pile up even after Republican candidates, committees and super PACs spent massive sums in an effort to retain control of Congress — including more than $380 million from President Donald Trump’s political operation.

许多共和党人表示,伊朗战争导致选民面临的汽油价格飙升,加上对经济持续的不满,引发了选民对该党的不满,而该党正是在2024年凭借这些议题获胜的。

Many Republicans said the war in Iran, which sent voters’ gas prices soaring, and continued frustration with the economy drove frustration with a party that won on those same issues in 2024.

此外,一些人迅速发泄了对候选人素质不佳的不满——例如南卡罗来纳州参议院竞选中的达琳·格雷厄姆和得克萨斯州参议院竞选中的肯·帕克斯顿。

On top of that some quickly vented about substandard candidates — such as Darline Graham in the South Carolina Senate race and Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate contest.

“人们不仅对战争、通胀和汽油价格感到愤怒,再加上他们认为他在达琳这个问题上让他们‘吞下了一坨屎’,他们就是受够了,”米克·马尔瓦尼说,他是前特朗普白宫幕僚长、南卡罗来纳州众议员。

"Not only were folks upset about the war, inflation and gas prices, but add to that the fact they think he was making them eat a shit sandwich in Darline, and they just had enough," said Mick Mulvaney, a former Trump White House chief of staff and South Carolina congressman.

特朗普在Truth Social上发帖称,自己不在选票上是导致共和党大幅表现不佳的原因——即使他曾奔波全国,恳请共和党人“像我在选票上一样投票”。“我不在选票上,如果我在,我们会大获全胜!”特朗普在晚上10点30分左右发帖称。其他共和党人则准备归咎于特朗普自己的决策。

Trump said on Truth Social his own absence from the ballot for the drastic Republican underperformance — even after barnstorming the country begging Republicans to “vote like I’m on the ballot.”“I wasn’t on the Ballot and if I was, we would have won IN A LANDSLIDE!”Trump posted shortly after 10:30 p.m. Other Republicans were ready to blame Trump’s own decisions.

“共和党今晚惨败是因为伊朗战争——简单明了。其他一切只是噪音和辩解,”一位接近白宫的人士说。

"Republicans got their asses kicked tonight because of the Iran war — plain and simple. Everything else is just noise and spin,” said a person close to the White House.

与此同时,华盛顿的权力格局已在发生变化。众议院监督委员会预计将出任主席、一直在为对特朗普政府展开大规模调查做准备的加利福尼亚州众议员罗伯特·加西亚周二发表了一份两个单词的声明,致政府官员和“特朗普犯罪家族”:“请律师吧。”

Meanwhile, power in Washington was already shifting. The likely next chair of the House Oversight Committee, who has been gearing up for massive probes into the Trump administration, issued a two-word statement Tuesday addressed to administration officials and the “Trump Crime Family.”“Lawyer up,” Rep. Robert Garcia of California said.

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