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波兰致命枪击加深政治分歧,面临紧张一周Poland braces for tense week after deadly shooting deepens political divisions

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波兰面临一周政治紧张局势,因数十年来最致命枪击案于周六在克拉科夫造成六人死亡、数十人受伤。袭击事件加剧了人们对极右翼极端主义抬头的担忧,正值一场大型民族主义游行即将举行之际。

Poland faces a week of political tensions after its deadliest shooting in decades left six people dead and dozens wounded in Krakow on Saturday. The attack has heightened concerns over rising far-right extremism ahead of a major nationalist march.

波兰正面临一周政治紧张局势,因数十年来最致命枪击案打破了这个严重分裂国家居民的安全感。

Poland is facing a week of political tensions after the deadliest shooting in decades shattered residents' sense of security in the deeply divided nation.

直到周六,这个国家一直未遭遇此类袭击,也未习惯日常暴力,当时一名枪手在克拉科夫——该国第二大城市——的历史悠久的市场广场随机开火。

The country had been spared from such attacks and was unaccustomed to everyday violence until Saturday, when a gunman opened fire at random in the historic market square of Krakow, the country's second city.

六人遇难,其中包括两名外国人,另有约15人受伤,这是1989年共产主义垮台以来波兰最严重的致命枪击案。

Six people, including two foreigners, were killed, and about 15 others were wounded, in Poland's worst fatal shooting since the end of communism in 1989.

据推测,枪手总共杀害了九人,因为在距克拉科夫两小时车程的其家中,发现了三具尸体——其父母和姐妹。警方周一宣布,嫌疑人已在医院死亡。

The gunman is suspected to have killed nine people in all after the bodies of three people – his parents and sister – were found at their home two hours' drive from Krakow. Police announced on Monday that the suspect had died in hospital.

检察官周日就“恐怖主义行为”立案调查,波兰内政部长表示嫌疑人痴迷于“极右翼意识形态”,这引起了保守派和民族主义反对派的愤怒。

Prosecutors on Sunday opened an investigation into an "act of terrorism" and Poland's interior minister has said the suspect was fascinated by "far-right ideologies", which has drawn the ire of the conservative and nationalist opposition.

枪击案发生之际,这个政治上严重分裂的国家正准备迎接关键的一周。

The shooting comes as Poland – a nation deeply divided politically – prepares for a critical week.

法官任命争端 周二,宪法法庭将举行一场高风险会议,这是唐纳德·图斯克政府与其反对者之间关于司法任命的持续斗争中的一个焦点。右翼反对派指责这个自由派、亲欧盟的政府破坏宪法秩序。

Court appointments row On Tuesday, a high-stakes meeting of the Constitutional Tribunal is due to be held, a focal point in the ongoing battle between Donald Tusk's government and its opponents over judicial appointments. The right-wing opposition accuses the liberal, pro-European administration of undermining the constitutional order.

执政联盟则坚称,它试图纠正民族主义者对法院作出的“政治性”提名和改革,并声称这些做法与欧洲民主标准背道而驰。

The governing coalition, for its part, maintains it is trying to correct "political" nominations to the court and reforms made by the nationalists, which it claims run counter to European democratic standards.

数周来,民族主义抗议者在法院外扎营“捍卫法院”,但危机在上月底突然升级。

For several weeks, nationalist protesters have camped outside the court to "defend it" but the crisis escalated abruptly late last month.

防暴警察进驻封锁通道,议会多数派新任命的一名法官宣称将临时接管法院——实际上暂停了现任院长的职务,后者与右翼及民族主义国家元首卡罗尔·纳夫罗茨基关系密切。

Riot police moved in to block access and a judge newly appointed by the parliamentary majority said she was taking over in the interim – effectively suspending the incumbent, who is close to the right and to the nationalist head of state Karol Nawrocki.

克拉科夫枪击案发生后,2015年至2023年执政的民族主义“法律与公正党”(PiS)取消了原定周一和周二的抗议活动。但抗议可能在本周晚些时候恢复。然而,周三的独立游行引发了最大担忧,其言论日趋激进。

After the Krakow shooting, the nationalist Law and Justice party (PiS), which was in power from 2015 to 2023, called off planned protests for Monday and Tuesday. But they could resume later in the week. Radicalised discourse Wednesday's Independence March is causing the greatest concern, however.

这一年度活动吸引多达数十万右翼支持者参与,涵盖天主教保守派、白人至上主义边缘团体,以及反犹太、亲俄的极右翼势力。总统纳夫罗茨基已宣布将出席。

The annual event draws up to hundreds of thousands of right-wing supporters, from Catholic conservatives and white-supremacist fringe groups to antisemitic, pro-Russian far-right elements. President Nawrocki has announced his attendance.

一些观察人士将其形容为“高风险”,担心人群可能偏离商定路线,转而前往宪法法庭。总理图斯克周日否认了可能叫停游行的传言。

Some observers have described it as "high-risk", fearing that the crowd may deviate from its agreed route and head instead to the Constitutional Tribunal. Prime Minister Tusk on Sunday dismissed rumours that the march could be stopped.

“绝无意图禁止独立游行,”他在X平台发文称,“此事的猜测纯属虚假信息。” 要显示来自X(Twitter)的此内容,您必须启用跟踪和受众衡量。但他敦促参与者“避免挑衅”,并警告不要参加反示威活动。

"No one intends to ban the Independence March," he wrote on X. "Speculation on this matter is nothing but disinformation." To display this content from X (Twitter), you must enable tracking and audience measurement. But he urged participants to "refrain from aggression" and warned against taking part in counter-demonstrations.

鉴于波兰政治的分裂,且极右翼运动正在抬头,他的呼吁很可能不被理睬。

His appeals may well go unheeded given the divisions in Polish politics, which are unfolding against the backdrop of a rising far-right movement.

“一种极具破坏性的两极分化,不仅在体制层面拆解国家,更在情感层面将社会撕裂得更深,”资深作家博古斯瓦夫·赫拉博塔周日在《共和国报》周刊上写道。

"An extremely destructive polarisation which does not merely dismantle the state in an institutional sense but also divides society even more deeply on an emotional level," said leading writer Boguslaw Chrabota in the weekly Rzeczpospolita on Sunday.

政治话语的激进化“孕育出了波兰的布雷维克”,他辩称,指的是克拉科夫枪击案和安德斯·布雷维克,后者于2011年在挪威杀害了77人。

Radicalisation of political discourse "gives rise to Polish Breiviks", he argued, referring to the Krakow shooting and Anders Breivik, who killed 77 people in Norway in 2011.

华沙大学政治学家埃娃·马尔钦尼亚克认为,克拉科夫的悲剧可能很快会被利用来谋取政治利益。“克拉科夫这类悲剧只会加剧政治分歧,”她说。

Political scientist Ewa Marciniak, from Warsaw University, suggested that the tragedy in Krakow could soon be exploited for political gain. "Tragedies like the one in Krakow only serve to sharpen political divisions," she said.

“在一段共同哀悼的时期之后,便是寻找责任人,而这一切都发生在一个由政治领袖间根深蒂固的相互敌意所定义的政治氛围中。”她补充道,随着议会选举定于2027年秋季举行,克拉科夫悲剧或宪法法庭持续危机等事件,很可能被用来“加深冲突”并“将公众卷入其中”。

"After a period of shared mourning comes the search for those responsible, all taking place in a political climate defined by deep-seated, mutual hostility among political leaders." With parliamentary elections scheduled for autumn 2027, events such as the Krakow tragedy or the ongoing crisis surrounding the Constitutional Tribunal, are likely to be used "to deepen conflicts" and "draw the public into them", she added.

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